Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.018565 0.020070 0.021638 0.023394 0.025308 0.027332 0.029636
2025-09-07 0.015852 0.017995 0.020349 0.023133 0.026340 0.029926 0.034249
2025-09-14 0.014123 0.016623 0.019480 0.022996 0.027222 0.032152 0.038364
2025-09-21 0.012765 0.015467 0.018654 0.022706 0.027746 0.033835 0.041794
2025-09-28 0.011873 0.014750 0.018237 0.022800 0.028645 0.035928 0.045759
2025-10-05 0.011063 0.014048 0.017754 0.022726 0.029266 0.037641 0.049280
2025-10-12 0.010445 0.013530 0.017445 0.022817 0.030060 0.039572 0.053151
2025-10-19 0.009899 0.013058 0.017149 0.022882 0.030788 0.041416 0.056973
2025-10-26 0.009361 0.012556 0.016770 0.022793 0.031273 0.042924 0.060383
2025-11-02 0.008911 0.012141 0.016477 0.022788 0.031851 0.044564 0.064045
2025-11-09 0.008395 0.011604 0.015979 0.022457 0.031930 0.045475 0.066666
2025-11-16 0.007879 0.011036 0.015406 0.021977 0.031752 0.045981 0.068682
2025-11-23 0.007451 0.010585 0.014992 0.021732 0.031941 0.047093 0.071781
2025-11-30 0.007074 0.010191 0.014641 0.021560 0.032233 0.048379 0.075243
2025-12-07 0.006745 0.009847 0.014342 0.021445 0.032595 0.049778 0.078960
2025-12-14 0.006401 0.009463 0.013962 0.021178 0.032694 0.050758 0.082037
2025-12-21 0.006175 0.009244 0.013818 0.021265 0.033349 0.052644 0.086721
2025-12-28 0.005928 0.008979 0.013586 0.021197 0.033741 0.054114 0.090779
2026-01-04 0.005734 0.008787 0.013457 0.021282 0.034383 0.056020 0.095698
2026-01-11 0.005547 0.008596 0.013320 0.021342 0.034979 0.057872 0.100631
2026-01-18 0.005341 0.008364 0.013104 0.021259 0.035323 0.059304 0.104884
2026-01-25 0.005164 0.008172 0.012942 0.021255 0.035795 0.060975 0.109672
2026-02-01 0.004936 0.007885 0.012613 0.020948 0.035720 0.061666 0.112657